The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points tomorrow night is 95.8%.

According to the CME "FedWatch Tool" data, the market expects a 95.8% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at the September 17 meeting, a 4.2% probability of a 50 basis point cut, and a 0% probability of maintaining the current rate. The market is betting that a rate cut in the United States is now a sure thing.