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date
24/08/2025
Guosen Securities research report stated that Li Ning still faces marketing cost pressure in the short term, but operating efficiency is improving, and mid-term sales growth is expected to accelerate, driving profit recovery. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved steady performance in a challenging operating environment, especially with a good profit performance after excluding non-recurring items. In the second half of the year, additional costs will be incurred due to resources invested in cooperation with the China Olympic Committee, but these will gradually be converted into sales driving force in the future. We maintain profit forecasts for the company, expecting the company's net profit attributable to the parent company to be 25.1/28.3/30.4 billion yuan in 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -16.6%/12.5%/7.7%. We are optimistic about the company's current healthy operating foundation and the potential for brand growth acceleration through future marketing efforts, raising the target price to 21.1-22.3 Hong Kong dollars, corresponding to a 2026 PE of 18-19x, and maintaining an "outperform the market" rating.
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2 m ago
The research report from CITIC Securities indicates that based on the selected global top-tier listed jewelry companies sample, leading luxury goods groups' jewelry business shows strong resilience in the second quarter of 2025 with strong product design capabilities and brand power, steady growth. Looking at different regions, the European and American markets show strong resilience; the Japanese market records a decline due to a high base period, while the Chinese market shows a trend of improvement month-on-month; Indonesia and India's gold and jewelry markets have strong consumer enthusiasm, with leading companies showing good momentum. In terms of product, jewelry companies continue to innovate and enhance their core product design capabilities. In terms of pricing strategy, companies are passing on the short-term impact of raw materials, tariffs, and exchange rates to consumers through price increases, and it is expected that they will maintain a cautious pricing strategy in the future. On the distribution side, companies are advancing the "DTC" strategy to face consumers directly. Looking ahead, leading jewelry companies overall maintain optimistic expectations, continue to increase investment in product capabilities enhancement, distribution channels, and regional expansion, and it is expected that brand momentum will further be released. Based on this, CITIC Securities believes that gold and jewelry companies with strong product capabilities and accelerated overseas expansion are expected to stand out, recommending leading companies in the gold and jewelry industry to maintain a "stronger than the market" rating.
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