The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 92.8%.

date
11/07/2025
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July is 92.8%, with a 7.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September is 29.7%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 65.4%, and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 4.9%.