"Rate Cut Sparked Stock Market Rally as Dow Jones Breaks 42000 Point Mark for the First Time"
The US stock market is showing strong gains.
The Federal Reserve announced a significant 50 basis point interest rate cut in its September rate decision, describing this rate cut as a "re-calibration" of its monetary policy, which sparked a surge in the stock market, with concerns of a "recession" becoming less prominent.
On Thursday, the US stock market saw strong gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossing the 42,000-point mark for the first time, rising by 1.26%, and the S&P 500 Index also rising by 1.70%, reaching a new all-time high.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell explained at a press conference on Wednesday, "We know that it is time to recalibrate our policy to better align with current conditions. With inflation and employment levels moving towards more sustainable levels, the risk balance has become more balanced." Despite a market pullback following Powell's speech on Wednesday, the market quickly rebounded on Thursday.
The Fed's decision has drawn attention from analysts and commentators, with the "re-calibration" becoming the focus. Many analysts believe that this shift towards a neutral stance was the primary driving force behind the global stock market rally on Thursday.
L. Thomas Block, Washington Policy Strategist at Fundstrat Research, pointed out that Powell's "re-calibration" seemed to be the key word of the day.
While some market participants held a pessimistic view following Powell's press conference on Wednesday, the Fed Chair's policy shift inspired bullish sentiment. Jose Torres, Senior Economist at Interactive Brokers, stated in a report that since the global financial crisis, the Fed has undoubtedly been a steadfast ally of bullish investors, stabilizing financial market volatility and driving asset prices (such as housing, stocks, and bonds) higher.
Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors, commented via email that Powell's language and tone emphasized that this decision reflected a reevaluation of the Fed's economic outlook. This was also reflected in the Fed's updated economic forecasts, with inflation falling faster than expected and unemployment rising more than the Fed's June projections.
Baird added, "Whether the Fed can time and execute its policy smoothly remains to be seen, but the signals conveyed by policymakers indicate that the path of interest rates is not set in stone, which is an important signal for the market."
Nicholas Colas, Co-Founder of DataTrek Research, stated that Powell mentioned the term "re-calibration" multiple times in his speech that day and successfully conveyed a reasonable perspective to investors, that this significant interest rate cut was an adjustment in the cycle, rather than a precursor to an economic recession.
Colas further wrote, "Powell's message of a 'slow and steady' pace of rate cuts may disappoint some, but it eliminates concerns that a 50 basis point rate cut only applies in cases of rapid economic deterioration. From this perspective, he achieved his intended goal at Wednesday's press conference."
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