Bets on the euro rising to 1.20 US dollars are making a comeback due to diverging interest rate paths between Europe and the United States.

date
09/09/2025
As investors bet on the euro benefiting from diverging interest rate paths between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, it is rising towards the $1.20 level. The euro against the dollar rose by 0.1% at one point in the session, reaching a high of 1.1780 since July 24, but then gave back some of the gains; the European Central Bank will announce interest rate decisions on Thursday. The options market is also consolidating the euro's upward momentum, with the so-called risk reversal index showing increased bullish sentiment across various maturities. Data from the U.S. custodian trust and settlement company shows that since last Friday, one-third of bullish bets are targeting the euro breaking through $1.20.