The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%.

According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 30.6%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 66.2% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 3.2%.