The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in July is 81.4%.

According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 81.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 18.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 14.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 70%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 15.2%.