The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged this time is 97.7%.

According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged this time is 97.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 71.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 27.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.6%.