The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 83.9%.

date
21/10/2026
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October is 83.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by December is 9.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 76.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.2%.