The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at the same level in September is 66.9%.

date
17/08/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged until September is 66.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 33.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged until October is 53.6%, with the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points being 39.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 50 basis points being 6.6%.