The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 62.6%.

date
24/06/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 62.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 37.4%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged by September is 29.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 50.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 19.6%.