The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in April is 98.4%.

date
06/04/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed lowering rates by 25 basis points cumulatively by June is 1.8%, maintaining rates unchanged is 96.6%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.5%.