U.S. Treasury bonds fell for a second consecutive day as traders significantly lowered their expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

date
03/03/2026
US Treasury bonds fell for the second consecutive day, as traders significantly reduced their bets on the size of the Fed's rate cuts this year. Short-term bonds led the decline, with the 2-year Treasury yield rising by 12 basis points to 3.59% at one point. Currently, the market's expectation of a second 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year has dropped to around 50%, while just last Friday, traders were factoring in two rate cuts. This trend is part of a global bond market sell-off, as investors worry that a US-Israeli war with Iran could reignite inflation, prompting a faster sell-off of bonds. Some investors who had bet on stable interest rates for a long time are now hurriedly reassessing their prospects.