The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 78.4%.

date
11/02/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 21.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 78.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 36.9%, maintaining rates is 57.3%, and cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points is 5.8%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 48.6%.