Lates News

The US Treasury yield curve experienced a sharp increase for the second consecutive trading day, mainly driven by the weakening of the US dollar and the strengthening of oil prices, both of which boosted inflation expectations. The 2-year/10-year US Treasury yield spread briefly widened to 67.6 basis points, higher than the 66.6 basis points at the end of Tuesday's session. The yield curve exhibited the typical "steepening of the bear market" characteristic, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term yields when investors factor in the risk of accelerating inflation. Gunter Dingler, head of US interest rate strategy at Fava Bank, stated, "During periods of US dollar weakness, the long end of the curve is usually more sensitive to inflation risks. Therefore, in general, the US dollar and US Treasuries often act as a 'pressure relief valve' for monetary and fiscal policy combinations. If the combination of fiscal and monetary policy suggests that the US dollar will continue to weaken, then I believe an increase in long-term yields is a textbook response."