Preview of US Stock Market | Three major stock index futures fell together, oil prices jumped, tensions escalated in the Strait of Hormuz, and the financial reporting season begins this week.
On April 13th (Monday) before the US stock market opened, futures for the three major US stock indices all fell.
Pre-Market Market Trends
1. Before the market opened on April 13th (Monday), the futures of the three major US stock indexes fell. As of the time of writing, Dow futures fell by 0.90%, S&P 500 index futures fell by 0.66%, and Nasdaq futures fell by 0.66%.
2. As of the time of writing, the Germany DAX index fell by 1.35%, the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.58%, the France CAC40 index fell by 1.09%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell by 1.15%.
3. As of the time of writing, WTI crude oil rose by 7.80% to $104.10 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose by 7.39% to $102.24 per barrel.
Market News
Escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz! Trump's "blockade order" will take effect tonight. After the US and Iran failed to reach any agreement in negotiations, US President Trump stated on social media on April 12 that the US Navy will begin to prevent ships from entering and exiting Iranian ports via the Strait of Hormuz, and will begin to "destroy" the water mines laid by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. The US Central Command stated that it will start implementing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports from 10:00 AM US Eastern Time on April 13th. In response, a spokesperson for the Iranian armed forces stated that Iran will resolutely implement a "permanent mechanism to control the Strait of Hormuz" due to continuing threats to Iran's national security.
The second largest buy order in history is coming: Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. estimates that CTAs will buy $45 billion of US stocks this week. Goldman Sachs data analysis suggests that technical forces are converging to drive the stock market this week, and this trend may be more lasting than initially expected. According to Goldman Sachs, commodity trading advisors (CTAs) will buy around $45 billion of US stocks in the coming week, with approximately $34 billion concentrated in the S&P 500 index. This marks the second largest buy order in record history and reflects a shift in systematic positions.
Oil price risks remain on the upside. Oil expert and Onyx Capital Group CEO Jorge Montepeque warned that if the US implements a maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could soar to $150 per barrel. He suggested that this could turn a regional conflict into a global conflict, leading to a daily decrease in oil supply of up to 12 million barrels. Additionally, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. stated that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for a month, the average price of Brent oil could exceed $100 per barrel in 2026.
Please note that these translations are generated by AI and may not be completely accurate.
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