Preview of US Stock Market | The three major stock index futures have narrowed their losses, and the surge in oil prices has intensified concerns about inflation. An emergency meeting of the G7 will be held tonight to discuss releasing strategic oil reserves.

1. Due to the escalation of the Middle East conflict, the surge in oil prices, and weak February non-farm payroll data last Friday, US stock index futures suffered a heavy blow, but as of the time of writing, the decline has narrowed. Dow Jones futures fell by 1.02%, S&P 500 index futures fell by 0.89%, and Nasdaq futures fell by 0.91%. The VIX fear index for US stocks briefly rose to 35.02 points, the highest level since April 2025. 2. As of the time of writing, the German DAX index fell by 1.19%, the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 1.07%, the French CAC 40 index fell by 1.79%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell by 1.59%. 3. As of the time of writing, WTI crude oil rose by 10.92% to $100.83 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose by 10.98% to $102.87 per barrel. Market News France confirms that the G7 emergency meeting will discuss the release of strategic oil reserves to address the Middle East crisis. The French government stated that during a G7 finance ministers' video conference on Monday, participants will discuss the possibility of releasing strategic oil reserves. France, as the rotating chair of the G7, has scheduled a conference call at 20:30 Beijing time to discuss the economic impact of the Middle East war. It has been reported that this meeting will discuss the idea of releasing strategic reserves as oil prices soar. A French government official confirmed that this option is being considered. Three G7 member countries, including the US, have expressed support for this strategy. Market turmoil boosts soaring oil prices! Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, follows suit in production cuts, impacting global energy supply. The strategic Strait of Hormuz is essentially blocked by the Iranian military, and oil-producing countries in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia, are filling their oil tanks. As the largest oil-producing country in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia has begun to cut its overall oil production, following in the footsteps of the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq. With Iran issuing a major threat to the global shipping system, the new round of Middle East wars has nearly completely closed off the vital global maritime energy hub that is the narrow Hormuz Strait. This blockade of energy exports from major oil-producing countries has led to a significant increase in the international benchmark oil futures prices for Brent crude oil. Wall Street veteran Adeni under the shadow of war: the probability of a US stock market crash this year rises to 35%, while the likelihood of a bull market is only 5%. Wall Street senior strategist Ed Yarden updated his outlook for the so-called "volatile era," stating that with the escalating Iran war impacting global markets, the risk of a sharp sell-off in the US stock market this year is rising. Yarden has raised the probability of a US stock market crash in the remaining time of the year from 20% to 35%. At the same time, he has significantly reduced the possibility of a bull market (a rise driven more by investor enthusiasm rather than fundamentals) to just 5%. This adjustment in probabilities reflects growing concerns that continued conflict in the Middle East, coupled with the resulting inflationary pressures, could squeeze household spending, erode corporate profit margins, and complicate the policy path for the Federal Reserve. The $1.8 trillion private credit market faces a wave of redemptions! Giant BlackRock, Inc. takes the lead in "closing the gate." In recent months, executives in the private credit industry have sensed that a moment of reckoning is approaching. A series of high-profile bankruptcies has shaken investor confidence. Market concerns over a large concentration of private credit exposure in software companies vulnerable to artificial intelligence (AI) impacts are increasing. Meanwhile, individual investors who have spent years acquiring retail investor funds have started withdrawing from the largest funds in the industry, putting pressure on the redemption caps that were designed to prevent forced sales of loan assets. Subsequently, BlackRock, Inc. drew a line. The company announced last Friday that it would limit redemptions of its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund to 5%, while investor redemptions had almost reached double this percentage. Job market "slams on the brakes" collides with GEO Group Inc's "powder keg": from Oracle Corporation's earnings report to CPI, the market seeks shelter this week. This week's focus will mainly be on the Consumer Price Index on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index on Friday, which will reflect the price situation as oil prices surge, indicating the onset of inflationary pressures. Following the dismal February employment report, investors will also closely watch the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on Friday, which, along with the University of Michigan's survey data, will provide a comprehensive insight into consumer sentiment. On the corporate front, Oracle Corporation's earnings report released on Tuesday will be the highlight of the week. Following NVIDIA Corporation's strong performance falling short of investors' expectations, the market will once again scrutinize the overall situation of AI trading. Adobe, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., Dell Technologies, and Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. will also announce quarterly performance updates this week. Individual Stock News Rising oil prices impact transport, trucking, and freight companies. The surge in oil prices has impacted trucking and freight stocks. When oil prices are high, these stocks tend to perform poorly as fuel costs are high and volatile, and these costs cannot be fully passed on to consumers, which can squeeze profit margins, increase risks, and weaken freight demand due to overall economic pressures. Since the conflict began, trucking stocks with significant price fluctuations include: RXO Inc (RXO.US) -16%, Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH.US) -9%, among others. Meanwhile, comprehensive freight logistics stocks have also been affected, including: CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW.US) -4%, among others. Parcel delivery giants have also suffered significant losses in the past week, with FedEx Corporation (FDX.US) falling by over 7% and United Parcel Service (UPS.US) falling by over 10%. Resolving past grievances! Hims & Hers (HIM.US) and Novo Nordisk A/S Sponsored ADR Class B (NVO.US) reach an agreement on weight loss drug authorization, with stock price surging by 48.2% in pre-market trading. According to insiders, Novo Nordisk A/S Sponsored ADR Class B is set to shake hands with Hims & Hers Health Inc., planning to announce a new cooperation agreement as early as Monday, where the Danish pharmaceutical company licenses its weight loss drugs for sale on the Hims platform, thus ending the public confrontation between the two parties. Boosted by this news, Hims stock surged by 48.2% in pre-market trading, while Novo Nordisk A/S Sponsored ADR Class B rose by approximately 1%. It is understood that the two parties had reached a similar agreement last year, but when Hims refused to stop marketing generic drugs, Novo Nordisk A/S Sponsored ADR Class B unilaterally terminated the cooperation. $13.4 billion fortune at stake! "Tesla, Inc. iron fan" Leo KoGuan makes a second purchase of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA.US), with a position of 2 million shares to confront the AI bubble theory. Following his significant purchase earlier this month, Leo KoGuan, an important individual shareholder of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US) and billionaire, completed a second large-scale purchase of NVIDIA Corporation shares amid a global sell-off triggered by the Middle East war--from bonds to stocks. According to his latest trading dynamics disclosed on the X social platform, Leo KoGuan once again purchased 1 million shares of NVIDIA Corporation stock on that day, swiftly increasing his cumulative stake to 2 million shares in just one week. From "high-end" to "budget-friendly": Apple Inc. (AAPL.US) unveils MacBook Neo, signaling a chill for the "bargain" PCs of Alphabet Inc. Class C and Microsoft Corporation. Apple Inc. officially launched the long-rumored budget-friendly MacBook last Wednesday, opening up a new market for its traditionally high-priced laptop product line. The MacBook Neo starts at $599, with an education discount price of $499, targeting schools, students, small businesses, and consumers who want to try out a MacBook but are unwilling to spend over a thousand dollars. Thomas Boger, VP of Mac product marketing, explained, "We've always wanted to make a more budget-friendly MacBook, but it wasn't until recently that all the conditions were right for us to do so." Apple Inc. has not only launched the MacBook Neo this time. Important Economic Data and Events Forecast 20:30 Beijing time: US January wholesale inventory month-on-month initial value (%). 23:00 Beijing time: US February New York fed 1-year inflation expectation (%). 20:30 Beijing time: The G7 finance ministers will hold an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing emergency oil reserves coordinated by the International Energy Agency (IEA). Earnings Forecast Tuesday morning: Yalla Group Ltd. Sponsored ADR Class A (YALA.US) Tuesday pre-market: NIO Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A (NIO.US), Kohl's (KSS.US)