Behind Lyft's (LYFT.US) 52% surge: Deep cultivation of "low penetration rate market" pays off, can they have the last laugh in the era of autonomous driving?

date
14:15 27/12/2025
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GMT Eight
By focusing on the submarkets where Uber's penetration rate is low, Lyft has achieved double-digit growth in orders for ten consecutive quarters.
Lyft (LYFT.US), which has long been overshadowed by Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER.US), is now building strong competitiveness in the ride-hailing and autonomous driving fields through strategic partnerships and expansion into low-penetration markets, achieving historical highs in booking volume, number of orders, and active passenger numbers. Specifically, by focusing on niche markets with low penetration rates for Uber Technologies, Inc., Lyft has achieved double-digit growth in orders for ten consecutive quarters high-margin order volume soared 50% year-on-year, revenue increased by 11%, and active passenger numbers grew by 18%, significantly narrowing the gap with Uber Technologies, Inc. in the shared mobility sector. Looking ahead to 2026, autonomous driving technology will be a key variable for success in the shared mobility industry. Therefore, Lyft is maintaining its strategic pace through deep cooperation with companies such as Baidu Inc Sponsored ADR Class A (BIDU.US), May Mobility, and Alphabet Inc. Class C's Waymo (GOOGL.US), aiming to further reduce operating costs. Furthermore, another path involves building a vertically integrated autonomous driving fleet management system. Lyft is establishing a service center specifically for maintaining and charging Waymo autonomous vehicles. Seeking Alpha analyst Jack Elias emphasizes that this move is "crucial - vehicle availability is a core element in determining the success of large-scale deployment of autonomous driving fleets, as the cost of retrofitting existing vehicles is too high." Elias adds, "Lyft's integrated approach to autonomous driving fleet management and favorable transaction economics lay the foundation for its long-term profitability and competitive advantage." Additionally, Lyft is partnering with Silicon Valley startup Tensor and through the "Lyft Ready" program, allowing individuals with autonomous driving-equipped vehicles to access the platform and generate income with Lyft's fleet management support. "Future vehicle owners can start earning on the Lyft network from the moment the vehicle leaves the factory, and passengers can enjoy the most advanced and Deluxe Corporation autonomous cars. This is an innovative way to expand transportation possibilities," said Jeremy Bird, Lyft's Vice President of Driver Experience. Unfortunately, despite being able to reduce operating costs and increase profits through these partnerships, Lyft's position in the autonomous driving ecosystem could still be surpassed by first-party autonomous driving operators such as Waymo and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US). "With Waymo moving out of the 'training wheels' phase, we expect more traffic to be supplied directly through Waymo One, and third-party integrations to decrease," warned analysts Scott DeVitt from Wade Bush, "if this is true, 2026 could be a difficult year for the entire ride-hailing industry." The good news is that Lyft will have ample cash reserves for strategic investments - estimated to exceed $1 billion in free cash flow, while maintaining double-digit revenue growth momentum. Seeking Alpha analyst Gary Alexander's, Inc. points out that this performance fully demonstrates its ability to compete with market leaders as a growth stock. Although cash flow improvements and strategic flexibility provide downside support for Lyft, its continued upward trajectory will depend on the effectiveness of its autonomous driving business and whether it can maintain its position against stronger-funded competitors. Year-to-date, Lyft's stock price has risen by 52%, Uber Technologies, Inc. has risen by 34%, and the S&P 500 index has risen by 18%.