Walmart Inc. (WMT.US) warning triggers market volatility, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing its largest single-day drop in over a month.

date
21/02/2025
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GMT Eight
On Thursday, the U.S. stock market experienced a pullback, with the market attributing the decline to the weak performance guidance issued by retail giant and consumer bellwether Walmart Inc. (WMT.US). Although there wasn't a major sell-off in the overall market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by over 520 points at one point, a decline of 1.2%, marking the largest single-day drop since January 10th. The S&P 500 index also dropped by over 0.4% after hitting consecutive all-time highs. As a key indicator of the U.S. consumer market, Walmart Inc.'s performance warning has raised concerns among investors about the economic outlook. Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investments, said, "Walmart Inc. plays a significant role as an indicator for American consumers, and in the current high valuation market environment, any signs of economic slowdown could trigger market corrections." Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, also pointed out that Walmart Inc.'s cautious guidance is a warning sign, particularly in the backdrop of escalating trade tensions that could raise costs for goods. He wrote in a report, "Households are currently facing high inflation pressures, heavy borrowing costs, and a tightening credit environment. Walmart Inc.'s performance report suggests that economic slowdown may occur later this year." During the earnings conference call, Walmart Inc. CFO John David Rainey was asked whether the Trump administration's tariff policies would impact the company's performance. He responded that the performance guidance did not include any specific assumptions about tariffs, and Walmart Inc. has the ability to address this uncertainty. Despite the short-term market correction, some analysts believe that this does not signal an imminent large-scale adjustment. Torres pointed out that key drivers of economic growth remain solid, such as active capital markets and a tight job market. Since the beginning of the year, U.S. stocks have still risen by over 3%, and the strong performance in the labor market continues to support the economy. Louis Navellier, founder of Navellier & Associates, stated that the market correction was not unexpected, especially as the S&P 500 index had just hit consecutive all-time highs for two days in a row. "This is a belated minor correction," he noted in his report. The recent market adjustments have generally been short-lived, and investors continue to buy on dips. Navellier stated, "Ultimately, the market will experience a true correction, but there are currently no clear catalysts indicating that this correction has begun."

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