Lyon: Maintaining CTF SERVICES (00659) "outperforming the market" rating, target price lowered to 8.2 Hong Kong dollars.
Given that Zhou Dafu, the founder and controlling shareholder, has no intention to sell his shares, Lyon believes that issuing convertible bonds is a reasonable solution.
Lyon released a research report stating that CTF SERVICES (00659) will maintain a "outperform market" rating, estimating a dividend yield of 8.6% for the 2025 fiscal year. Considering that the controlling shareholder has no intention of selling its shares, Lyon believes that issuing convertible bonds is a reasonable solution with minimal dilution. Taking into account the conversion and RMB exchange rate forecast, Lyon believes that this will have a negative impact of about 4% to 7% on the forecasted recurring profit, and accordingly lowers the target price to HK$8.2.
The report states that CTF SERVICES announced plans to issue convertible bonds worth 780 million yuan, with an initial conversion price of HK$8.043 per share, a premium of about 5%. The bonds can be converted into a total of 97.87 million new shares, representing approximately 2.369% of the enlarged share capital of the company. Lyon points out that after full conversion of the convertible bonds, the public shareholding of the company will increase to 25.64%, above the minimum public shareholding level of 25% required by listing rules.
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