Counterpoint: By 2027, GenAI notebooks will account for 79% of the total notebook market volume.
AI advanced laptops will drive the first wave of AI PC expansion in 2024-25.
In the Counterpoint report, the compound annual growth rate forecast for AI laptops has been raised. It is expected that between 2025 and 2029, advanced AI laptops and AI-supported laptops will achieve compound annual growth rates of 49% and 12% respectively. This revision was made against the backdrop of the rapid growth of the entire AI ecosystem over the past five months driven by CKH HOLDINGS development. During this period, PC suppliers, chip designers, and software engineers have experienced strong growth and have launched a variety of laptops equipped with the latest chips and Copilot+, further solidifying expectations.
In April 2024, the forecast for GenAI laptops was updated, emphasizing that three-quarters of laptops sold in 2027 will be AI laptops, including advanced AI laptops and laptops supporting AI functions that can support GenAI functions through the main processor (GPU/NPU). It is believed that this growth trend will continue.
Applications and use cases with AI capabilities are also crucial for the expansion and deployment of AI PCs, requiring support from the entire PC ecosystem. It is also observed that in the era of AI PCs, semiconductor content benefits from upgrades in specifications of different components, including CPU, GPU, NPU, and memory. In addition, by 2029, Windows on Arm will also shake up the PC industry, capturing one-third of the market share. Overall, in the baseline forecast, it is expected that by 2027, GenAI laptops will account for 79% of the total laptop market, with the largest increase in shipments occurring between 2025 and 2026.
In the 2000s, PCs attracted everyone's attention and drove technological development. Subsequently, smartphones rapidly developed, dominating the technology industry in the 2010s. Most people have at least one smartphone and use them in their daily lives. It is now expected that artificial intelligence will lead the next wave of technological development in the 2020s. In the field of artificial intelligence, AI laptops will undoubtedly become the core to coordinate various devices and applications.
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