The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 77.3%.

date
06/10/2026
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October is 77.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 22.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by December is 13.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 67.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 18.8%.