Both sides of the conflict in Sudan continue to fight fiercely in multiple locations.

date
29/09/2026
In recent days, the security situation in the Kordofan region of central Sudan has continued to escalate, with both sides in the Sudanese armed conflict the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces engaged in sustained fighting in multiple locations. Since mid-September, the Sudanese Armed Forces have successively launched large-scale military operations in western and northern North Kordofan State, seizing large areas of territory and pushing the front line westward to the border area between Kordofan and Darfur. At the same time, both sides in the conflict have increasingly frequently used drones and long-range strike means. The Sudanese Armed Forces recently stated that in the first eight months of this year they shot down more than 110 Rapid Support Forces drones, while the Rapid Support Forces claimed to have shot down about 80 of the other side's drones.
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On September 29, according to people familiar with the matter, Iranian officials privately expressed pessimism about reaching an agreement with Washington before the U.S. midterm elections on November 3. Iranian officials believe that negotiations over ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz have made little substantive progress, and that the possibility of conflict escalation after the midterm elections is instead relatively high. Iran remains willing to seek a solution through diplomatic channels, but does not believe the Trump administration will abide by the terms of any agreement; Trump had likewise previously expressed doubt about whether a deal could be reached before the elections. The core disagreements in the current negotiations center on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. The U.S. government has told mediators that Iran must make a firm commitment to reopen the strait and make concessions on its nuclear program. A U.S. official said that the United States will not reach an agreement with Iran before the nuclear issue is resolved; Trump is willing to offer sanctions relief and release some frozen funds in exchange for concrete progress by Iran on the nuclear issue. Trump subsequently publicly denied related reports by Axios and other media, saying he had not offered Iran conditions for sanctions waivers or asset unfreezing, and demanded that the reports be retracted. Qatar is continuing mediation around a revised version of the seven-day proposal previously put forward by Iran. Iran's semi-official ISNA news agency confirmed that Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi has met with mediators in New York, but U.S. representatives did not attend. Araghchi said Iran has conveyed to the United States and the international community the conditions required to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and has discussed with Qatar a proposal it is prepared to submit to the United States; after Qatar receives the U.S. response, it will pass it on to Iran through appropriate channels. Araghchi then returned to Tehran as originally planned, without staying in New York to wait for a U.S. response. In June of this year, a memorandum of understanding signed by the United States and Iran briefly led to a ceasefire and allowed more ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, but the arrangement collapsed in less than two weeks, and traffic through the strait remains far below pre-war levels. Iran insists that the United States must lift its naval blockade and oil sanctions before the relevant negotiations can make progress. As market expectations for a U.S.-Iran agreement cooled, Brent crude oil futures rose 2% on Monday to about $106.20 per barrel.
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