The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 67.5%.

date
15/08/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 67.5%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 32.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates until October is 53.3%, with a cumulative increase of 25 basis points at 39.8%, and a cumulative increase of 50 basis points at 6.8%.