The navigational volume in the Hormuz Strait has sharply decreased and is close to stagnation.
The UK-based maritime analysis company, Warmord, released a report on the 9th stating that due to the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran, the traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has sharply decreased, with commercial ships leaving the Persian Gulf essentially at a standstill. The report mentioned that the traffic in the strait has fluctuated significantly in recent days. On the 7th, there were a total of 51 passages through the strait, with 35 ships leaving the Persian Gulf; on the 8th, there were 35 passages, with only two ships leaving through the southern channel, indicating that ship operators chose to avoid the side closer to Oman after the attacks the previous night. From the night of the 8th to the early morning of the 9th, there were only 5 passages through the Strait of Hormuz, with only one ship leaving the Persian Gulf. The report pointed out that the southern channel of the Strait of Hormuz has been largely abandoned, and commercial ship traffic leaving has essentially been in a closed state for the first time since partially resuming in mid-June. Currently, the risk level in the Strait of Hormuz and its surrounding waters is "critical." The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran, the breakdown of ceasefires, the reimplementation of sanctions, and uncertainty in terms of navigation safety have further escalated the risks in the region. US Central Command announced on social media on the 8th that the US military carried out more strikes against Iran that day. This comes after the US military launched military strikes against Iran for two consecutive days in response to recent attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. In response, the Iranian military launched strikes on several US military targets in the Middle East. Following the US-Iran understanding memorandum, there are two main navigation channels in the Strait of Hormuz: the northern channel controlled by Iran and the southern channel closer to Oman, where the US military provides navigation assistance.
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