The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 69%.

date
09/07/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 69%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 31%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until September is 31.1%, with a 51.9% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, and a 17% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.