The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 98.4%.

date
02/06/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.4%, with a 1.6% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 90.2%, with an 8.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, and a 1.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut.