The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 99.2%.

date
16/05/2026
According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 99.2%, with a 0.8% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 95%, with a 0.7% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 4.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike.