The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.7%.

date
12/05/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until June is 97.7%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 2.3%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until July is 94.6%, with a 5.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 0.1% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.