Huaxi Securities: Fund performance is the key to determining the trend of the bond market. In the short term, we need to wait for negative news to weaken.

date
19/03/2026
Huaxi Securities pointed out that if the subsequent funding situation remains stable, the overall bond market may lean towards volatility; if there are fluctuations in funding, the speed of bond market adjustment may accelerate. From a specific point of view, due to the relatively insufficient positive logic at the moment, combined with the pressure of institutional profit-taking demands during the end-of-quarter performance assessment, institutional profit-taking demands are naturally strong, and there is no discounting the possibility of the 10-year government bond yield rising above 1.85%. Investors can wait for the long-term interest rates to rise, wait for negative factors to stabilize, and then make allocations.