The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.1%

date
13/03/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 0.9%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 99.1%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in April is 3.9%, with a 96% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0% probability of cutting rates by 50 basis points. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 19.5%.