The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 97.3%.

date
10/03/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 2.7%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 97.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by a total of 25 basis points in April is 11.5%, with a probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged at 88.3%, and a probability of lowering interest rates by a total of 50 basis points at 0.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 33.3%.