The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March is 97.5%

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 2.5%, with a 97.5% probability of keeping rates unchanged. The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by April is 16.3%, with an 83.4% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.4% probability of a cumulative 50 basis points rate cut. The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 40.3%.