The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 96%.

date
27/02/2026
CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.0%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 17.3%, with a probability of keeping rates unchanged at 82.1%, and a probability of cutting interest rates by a total of 50 basis points at 0.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 43%.