The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 94.1%.

date
20/02/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 5.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 94.1%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 20.5%, with a 78.5% probability of keeping rates unchanged and a 1.0% probability of a total cut of 50 basis points. The probability of a total cut of 25 basis points by June is 49.8%.