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The Oxford Economics Research Institute predicts that the US economy will maintain steady growth in 2026-2027, mainly driven by investment in artificial intelligence, tax incentives, and spending by high-income groups. The institution expects US GDP growth to be 2.8% in 2026 and 2.3% in 2027, with GDP annualized growth reaching 4.4% in the third quarter of 2025. Investment in artificial intelligence and non-tech sectors is rising, leading to continuous improvement in productivity, stock market gains, and tax cuts supporting consumer spending. Inflation is expected to slow down to 2.4%, creating conditions for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice next year. A decrease in immigration and weak housing demand may further alleviate inflation pressure. Overall, the fundamentals of the US economy remain strong, but sensitivity to stock market performance remains high.
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