The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in March is 90.1%

date
05/02/2026
CME FedWatch: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 9.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.1%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in April is 23.2%, with a 75.1% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 1.6% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.