ADP announces that the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 90%.
According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 10%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 90%. The probability of the Fed lowering rates by a cumulative 25 basis points in April is 21.6%, with a 77% probability of maintaining rates unchanged, and a 1.5% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point decrease. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate decrease by June is 44.8%.
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