The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95%.

According to CME "Fed Watch": the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in January is 5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 17.1%, with a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 82.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.7%.