The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 44.4%.

date
16/11/2025
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 44.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 55.6%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by January next year is 48.6%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 34.7%, and the probability of a total of 50 basis points rate cuts is 16.7%.