Industrial: Freight rates significantly impacted by the US-Iran war. Focus on the demand for oil transportation after the reopening of the strait.
In March 2026, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) for dry bulk shipping had an average of 2051.60 points, up 0.5% month-on-month and 34.2% year-on-year.
Industrial released a research report stating that container shipping freight rates increased month-on-month in March 2026, mainly driven by rising fuel prices. Freight rates on the Shanghai-Europe and US West Coast routes rose by 14.9% and 18.4% respectively. The tanker sector was impacted by the US-Iran war and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, with VLCC-TCE averaging a significant increase of 97.5% month-on-month. Dry bulk shipping showed a "not-so-weak off-season" trend, with the BDI index increasing by 34.2% year-on-year.
Key points from Industrial are as follows:
Container shipping sector: Freight rates increased significantly due to rising fuel prices
Freight review: In March 2026, the CCFI average was 1096.52 points, up 1.1% month-on-month but down 5.9% year-on-year. By route, the SCFI Shanghai-Europe route averaged $1602.25/TEU, up 14.9% month-on-month and 15.5% year-on-year; the SCFI Shanghai-US West Coast route averaged $2148.75/FEU, up 18.4% month-on-month and 3.5% year-on-year; and the NCFI Ningbo-Thailand/Vietnam route index averaged 925.39 points, up 19.1% month-on-month but down 16.6% year-on-year.
Supply-demand relationship: On the demand side, Clarkson's monthly demand index in February 2026 was 117.40, up 6.7% year-on-year but down 10.5% month-on-month. China's exports in March 2026 totaled $321.03 billion, up 7.1% month-on-month and 2.5% year-on-year. On the supply side, there were a total of 7073 registered container ships globally in March 2026, with a total capacity of 3323.56 million TEU. In March 2026, there were 6 new container ships delivered globally, totaling 60,400 TEU in capacity; 1 container ship was dismantled, totaling 10,000 TEU in capacity. There were 22 new orders for container ships in March 2026, totaling 65,800 TEU in capacity; by the end of March, there were 1445 ships on order, totaling 12,172.8 TEU, accounting for 36.63% of the total fleet.
Tanker sector: Freight rates increased due to the US-Iran war and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
Freight review: The VLCC-TCE average was $246,688.70/day, up 97.5% month-on-month and 493.7% year-on-year; the MR product tanker weighted average income was $53,114.87/day, up 74.5% month-on-month and 148.8% year-on-year.
Supply-demand relationship: On the demand side, Clarkson's crude oil transportation demand index in February 2026 was 104.79, down 7.4% month-on-month but up 7.2% year-on-year; the product oil transportation demand index was 98.13, down 5.8% month-on-month but up 1.2% year-on-year. On the supply side, as of the end of March 2026, there were a total of 2359 registered crude oil tankers globally, with a total capacity of 4.69 billion DWT; there were 3576 product tankers with a total capacity of 2.01 billion DWT. In March 2026, there were 8 new deliveries of crude oil tankers globally, totaling 1.91 million DWT; 2 crude oil tankers were dismantled, totaling 310,000 DWT. There were 28 new orders for VLCCs (Very Large Crude Carriers) in March 2026, totaling 8.615 million DWT; by the end of March, there were 432 crude oil tankers on order, totaling 95.74 million DWT, accounting for 20.41% of the total fleet. As of April 10, 2026, there were a total of 506 crude oil tankers worldwide subject to sanctions, totaling 90.0978 million DWT, representing 19.13% of the total fleet.
Dry bulk shipping sector: The significant trend of the off-season not being weak may drive an overall upward trend for the year
Freight review: In March 2026, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) averaged 2051.60 points, up 0.5% month-on-month and 34.2% year-on-year.
Supply-demand relationship: On the demand side, Clarkson's global dry bulk transportation demand index in February 2026 was 107.8, down 6.2% month-on-month but up 6.8% year-on-year. On the supply side, as of March 2026, there were 14,705 registered dry bulk ships globally, with a total capacity of 10.73 billion DWT. In March 2026, there were 44 new deliveries of dry bulk ships globally, totaling 283.26 million DWT; 5 dry bulk ships were dismantled, totaling 27.12 million DWT. There were 28 new orders for dry bulk ships in March 2026, totaling 270.85 million DWT; by the end of March, there were 1557 dry bulk ships on order, totaling 1.39 billion DWT, accounting for 12.96% of the total fleet.
Risk warning: Risks related to international trade conflicts, geopolitical risks, and transportation operation risks.
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