Li Jiage: The lowest period of the Hong Kong commercial property market has passed, with the expected increase of 17% in registered transaction amounts for this year.

date
14:06 20/01/2026
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GMT Eight
Liga Court preliminarily predicts that the total number of commercial property transactions in Hong Kong in 2026 is expected to increase by 17%, reaching a level of 5240 transactions, breaking a new high in 5 years. As for the transaction amount involved, it is expected to increase by nearly 17% year-on-year, reaching a 4-year high of 740 billion Hong Kong dollars.
Ricacorp Properties Director Huang Yingnian stated that benefited from the rise in the stock market, economic improvement, lower interest rates, and favorable policies, the commercial properties in Hong Kong achieved a strong rebound in 2025, with expectations of further growth in 2026. Throughout 2025, a total of 4468 commercial properties were registered for sale in Hong Kong, marking a 31% rebound from the historical low of 3414 in 2024. The total transaction amount also increased by 16%, reaching 63.221 billion Hong Kong dollars, breaking away from the low of the past 21 years. Looking ahead to 2026, Huang Yingnian believes that the commercial property market in Hong Kong has already hit bottom and rebounded over the past two years, with further potential for growth. He predicts an increase in commercial property transactions, with a particular focus on interest rate reductions, stock market growth, and economic recovery driving further investment. The number of commercial property transactions is expected to increase by 17%, reaching a new high of 5240, with the total transaction amount also expected to rise by nearly 17% to reach a new high of 74 billion Hong Kong dollars, a high point in the past 4 years. Huang Yingnian pointed out that the commercial property market in 2025 saw significant fluctuations, with transaction volumes varying from as high as around 110 properties per month to as low as around 52 properties per month. Overall, there were an average of around 90 transactions per month in 2025, with the second half of the year, especially the fourth quarter, showing the most promising performance. In summary, in 2025, the total number of commercial property transactions in Hong Kong increased significantly, rising by 63% compared to the previous year. The total value of commercial property transactions also surged by 82%, reaching 279.03 billion Hong Kong dollars. Looking ahead to 2026, Huang Yingnian remains optimistic about the commercial property market, expecting further growth in transaction volumes and total transaction values. Additionally, Ricacorp Properties Director Zhu Liangheng and Senior Operations Director Zheng Deming provided insights on the rebound and potential growth of the commercial property market in Hong Kong, specifically focusing on office buildings and shops, as well as the prospects for investment in 2026.