Bank of America Securities: Raises Sinotruk Jinan Truck (03808) target price to 29 Hong Kong dollars, reiterates "neutral" rating.
The company is steadily advancing towards its sales and profit margin targets for 2025, and has indicated that it will maintain a cautious capital expenditure plan from 2025 to 2027.
Bank of America Securities released a research report stating that it has raised the target price of Sinotruk Jinan Truck (03808) from HK$24.3 to HK$29, while maintaining a neutral rating, believing that the current stock price reflects its growth prospects. However, the bank still favors the company's long-term business story of expanding exports and its solid local market position.
The bank held a conference call with Sinotruk Jinan Truck. Management stated that the company's full-year sales target of 300,000 vehicles is progressing smoothly. The company is steadily advancing towards its sales and profit margin targets for 2025, and plans to maintain a cautious capital expenditure plan between 2025-2027, not exceeding 2 billion RMB per year, with a focus on investing in overseas production bases such as Kazakhstan, Brazil, and Indonesia. It is also expected that the dividend payout ratio for 2025-2027 will not be less than 55%.
Based on updated sales and gross margin assumptions, Bank of America Securities has raised Sinotruk Jinan Truck's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 by 5%, 4%, and 4%, respectively. Due to the increase in overseas sales contribution, the gross margin forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been raised by 0.5 percentage points each. Earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 have also been raised by 4%, 10%, and 10% respectively.
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