CITIC SEC: It is expected that the real estate market will have a foundation for stabilizing and rebounding by 2026.
CITIC Securities released a research report stating that the supply and demand situation in the real estate market has improved to some extent, and the adjustment is relatively sufficient. It is expected that there will be a foundation for the market to stabilize in 2026. CITIC Securities believes that 2026 may be a critical year for real estate companies to repair their balance sheets, and some companies may see the bottom of their profit cycle.
CITIC SEC released a research report stating that the supply and demand situation in the real estate market has improved, and adjustments are relatively sufficient. It is expected that the market will have a foundation to stabilize and stop falling in 2026. CITIC SEC believes that 2026 may be a crucial year for real estate companies to repair their balance sheets, and some companies may see the bottom of a long cycle of profitability. Companies that are the first to break through are often those that have a good layout in cities, have investment properties that are operating well, or have some financial assets with appreciation potential.
Key points from CITIC SEC:
- In 2025, there was some improvement in the supply and demand for residential properties, but the market remained on a downward trend.
- In 2026, the residential market has an internal foundation for stopping the decline.
- Choosing the right region is an important reason for some companies to repair their balance sheets, surpassing the importance of land acquisition intensity.
- Investment properties are the backbone of the balance sheet, and the choice of business format and operation are crucial.
- Risk points include the risk of declining profitability due to continued decline in housing prices, the risk of poor regional selection for some companies, and the risk of a high proportion of office buildings in investment properties.
Looking forward to the bottoming of the cycle, and optimistic about three good companies.
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