CMC International: Raises target price for PICC P&C (02328) to HKD 23.6, maintains "buy" rating.
The line indicates that, considering the excellent underwriting and investment performance, the earnings per share forecast for property insurance in 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 11%, 6%, and 6% respectively, reaching 1.86 yuan, 1.94 yuan, and 2.17 yuan respectively.
The report released by CMB International stated that PICC P&C (02328) had a strong performance in the third quarter, with net profit increasing by 91.5% year-on-year to 15.8 billion RMB (same below), driving a 50.5% year-on-year increase in net profit to 40.3 billion RMB for the first 9 months, benefiting from improved underwriting profitability and significantly increased investment income. CMB International pointed out that PICC P&C (currently fiscal year 2025) has a P/B ratio of 1.35 times, maintaining a "buy" rating with a target price raised from 21.6 HKD to 23.6 HKD.
The bank noted that considering the excellent underwriting and investment performance, the earnings per share forecast for non-life insurance from 2025 to 2027 were raised by 11%, 6%, and 6% respectively to reach 1.86 yuan, 1.94 yuan, and 2.17 yuan, with the annual auto insurance COR forecast revised down to 95.1%, from the previous 95.8%, while the non-auto insurance COR (comprehensive cost ratio) forecast was maintained at 99%, achieving the annual target of COR below 96% and 99%. It is expected that the improvement in the non-auto COR due to the consolidation of the non-auto insurance business will gradually become apparent in 2026.
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