The US government shutdown is nearing a historic record, with Trump misjudging the determination of the Democratic Party. A "critical moment" has arrived!

From October 1st to now, the US government shutdown is about to enter its 32nd day, just a step away from the longest record of 35 days set in 2018-2019. At 31 days and 22 hours and 21 minutes, the countdown on the White House website regarding the government shutdown continues... Currently, the prospect of breaking the deadlock remains bleak, and the real "critical moment" has arrived. With the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) funding for providing food aid to 42 million Americans set to expire on November 1st, a severe social crisis is rapidly unfolding. In the face of this situation, the political agenda of the US Congress is stumbling. According to a report by CCTV News on November 2nd, based on the latest meeting plan of the US Senate on November 1st, the earliest vote on the Senate's next bill to stop the government shutdown is scheduled to begin on the evening of November 3rd, which will be the 34th day of the current US government shutdown. Trump administration misjudges Democratic determination Media analysis suggests that the core of this deadlock lies in the Trump administration and its Republican allies' failure to anticipate the strong stance of the Democrats in budget negotiations. At the beginning of the shutdown, White House officials made internal predictions that no one guessed the shutdown would last more than 10 days. They believed that federal employees on unpaid leave, limited public services, and Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vought's threats to cut more jobs would be enough to force the Democrats to compromise. However, as the deadlock entered its second month, Trump's patience appears to have been exhausted. He told reporters on Friday, "Democrats don't know what they're doing at all! I don't know what's wrong with them. They never did this before. They've gone crazy. All they have to do is say, 'Lets go, and open up our country.' Everything would be right immediately. So, it must be them who have a problem. It's all their fault. Everything is their fault. This problem is very easy to solve..." Trump turned to exerting public pressure, demanding that the Republicans initiate the "nuclear option" to abolish Senate rules blocking the passage of appropriations bills with a simple majority in order to unilaterally reopen the government. However, this demand was quickly rejected by top party leaders in the Senate. The proposal received little response within the Republican Party, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune and House Speaker Mike Johnson both expressing their positions in maintaining the rule. Meanwhile, according to a recent ABC News poll, more Americans blame Trump and congressional Republicans for the government shutdown. Despite the message on the White House website stating "Democrats shut down the government." Critical moment: SNAP funding interruption As the shutdown continues, the US economy and society are facing multiple stress tests. Among these, the most urgent and far-reaching issue is the interruption of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) funding for providing food aid to about 42 million low-income Americans since November 1st. Media outlets have deemed this as a "critical moment" in the US government shutdown. The SNAP program covers about one-eighth of the US population, and the funding interruption means that millions of families may face the risk of hunger. Although a federal judge has ruled that the Trump administration must use emergency funds to maintain the program, Trump responded that the government needs to wait for the court to provide "appropriate legal guidance," and warned that even then, fund disbursement may be delayed. According to a statement by the National Parent Alliance, a private organization in the US on November 1st, millions of users of the SNAP program in the US did not receive benefits that day due to insufficient funds. In addition to the SNAP crisis, other impacts of the shutdown continue to escalate. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has issued ground delay instructions in cities like New York and Boston due to personnel shortages, putting increasing pressure on the aviation system. US Vice President Pence even warned that if the deadlock continues until the Thanksgiving holiday in late November, the US aviation system may face a "disaster." Furthermore, millions of government employees have missed their first full paycheck, and the US Treasury Secretary warned that military pay may face risks of being cut off on November 15th. Meanwhile, as the Affordable Care Act (ACA) open enrollment for the new year begins, many consumers are facing significant premium increases due to the expiration of enhanced subsidies during the pandemic. November 3rd vote, countdown for bipartisan bargaining Within the deadlock, there was briefly a glimmer of hope in the bipartisan negotiations this week. Lawmakers involved in the talks revealed that progress had been made between the two parties. Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto said on Thursday that this week's talks were "more productive than ever before." However, the core differences in the negotiations still exist. Democrats insist on negotiating the extension of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies that are due to expire before reopening the government. Republicans, on the other hand, demand that Democrats first vote to support the government reopening before discussing other issues. Trump reiterated last Friday that he would not meet with Democratic leadership unless they opened the government first. His remarks requesting the abolition of the rules blocking the proceedings are seen as an obstacle to these "delicate negotiations." With the negative impacts accumulating, both sides are facing escalating political pressure. Currently, the US Senate is scheduled to vote on November 3rd evening (the 34th day of the shutdown), and the markets are closely watching to see if the two parties can reach a compromise at the last minute. This article is sourced from Wall Street See, authored by Long Yue, GMTEight, edited by Li Cheng.