CICC: Raised JD-SW (09618) 2025 adjusted net profit forecast by 1.8% to 27.5 billion RMB, maintaining "outperform industry" rating.
CICC predicts that JD's daily sales of 100 categories in the third quarter can still maintain a fast growth rate, the profit margin of its retail business is stable, and delivery services are better than expected, which may drive the net profit of the third quarter to exceed previous expectations.
CICC released a research report stating that it predicts that JD.com, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A group (09618, JD.US) will achieve a 14% year-on-year increase in revenue in the third quarter to 297.1 billion RMB, which is higher than the bank's previous expectations, corresponding to a non-GAAP net profit margin of 1.5%. CICC raised its adjusted net profit forecast for JD.com, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A in 2025 to 27.5 billion RMB and maintained its profit forecast for 2026 at 38.4 billion RMB; it also maintained its "outperform industry" investment rating and a target price of $41, which corresponds to an 11 times adjusted price-earnings ratio in 2026 and a 28.7% upside; the current stock price corresponds to a 12/8 times adjusted price-earnings ratio in 2025/26.
CICC expects that JD.com, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A's daily category in the third quarter will continue to maintain rapid growth, with solid retail business profit margins and better-than-expected delivery services, which may drive third-quarter net profit higher than previously expected.
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