Preview of US Stock Market | Three major stock index futures rise together, "terrifying data" to be released soon.
On September 16th (Tuesday), before the US stock market opens, the futures of the three major US stock indexes are all rising.
Pre-market market trends
1. In the pre-market on September 16th (Tuesday), the futures of the three major US stock indexes rose. As of the time of writing, the Dow Jones futures rose by 0.02%, the S&P 500 index futures rose by 0.18%, and the Nasdaq futures rose by 0.22%.
2. As of the time of writing, the German DAX index fell by 0.54%, the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.26%, the French CAC 40 index fell by 0.15%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.16%.
3. As of the time of writing, WTI crude oil rose by 0.54% to $63.64 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose by 0.34% to $67.67 per barrel.
Market News
- US August retail sales may grow against the overall weak performance of the economy. Despite signs of pressure from slowing hiring, rising unemployment, and increasing inflation, consumer spending may be a bright spot. Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.2% month-on-month in August.
- Valuation anxiety shifts in S&P 500! The pace of profit growth lags behind stock price increases, and non-tech sectors show signs of a bubble. The rise in the S&P 500 index has been largely driven by the tech sector this year, but the profits of these tech giants have outpaced the rise in stock prices, proving their high valuation is reasonable.
- Political games intensify before the Fed's September meeting: Trump's "ally" successfully joins, but the attempt to dismiss Governor Powell fails. The Trump administration's efforts to influence the Fed's decisions have sparked a fierce battle with the central bank's independence. The Senate narrowly approved Trump's economic advisor, Stephen Moore, for the Fed's board of directors, strengthening Trump's influence on monetary policy.
Interest rate cuts good news? JP Morgan warns: if the Fed is forced by politics, market risks will increase sharply. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, warns that if the Fed's expected rate cut this week is seen as giving in to political pressure and contradicts the Fed's economic forecasts, it could increase risks for the stock market, bond market, and the dollar.
Gold bull market remains but needs to cool off! Experts predict a short-term correction before aiming for $4000 in 2026. Traders and industry experts believe that there may be a healthy correction before surpassing the $4000/oz level in 2026. Renisha Chainani, research director at Mumbai Refinery Augmont, states that the long-term gold bull market remains solid due to demand, especially from central banks and ETFs.
Individual stock news
- Oracle Corporation (ORCL.US) rose pre-market as reports suggest it is involved in a consortium to maintain TikTok's operations in the US.
- Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US) faces an investigation by the NHTSA into potential issues with the electronic door handles on some Model Y vehicles.
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA.US) faces weak demand in China for its new RTX6000D chip designed for the Chinese market.
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TSM.US) sees its market share in the semiconductor foundry market rise to 38% in Q2, driven by AI demand and Chinese subsidies.
- Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOGL.US) sees its proposal to divest some ad tech businesses rejected by the Justice Department.
- Corteva (CTVA.US) faces questions from Wall Street about rumors of splitting its seed and pesticide businesses.
- Webtoon (WBTN.US) sees a surge in stock price pre-market after Walt Disney Company (DIS.US) invests in and collaborates to create a digital platform for classic Disney comics.
Key Economic Data and Events Ahead
- US August retail sales will be announced at 20:30 Beijing time.
- US August industrial production data will be released at 21:15 Beijing time.
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