Drop! Drop! Drop! Analysts' downward revision of delivery expectations has caused market concerns, leading to continued decline in the stock price of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US).

date
11/03/2025
avatar
GMT Eight
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US) stock price has continued to decline, investors were hoping for a rebound based on stable market sentiment, but this hope was not realized on Monday. Concerns about economic recession have intensified in the market, and at the same time, Wall Street analysts have lowered Tesla, Inc.'s delivery expectations, causing the stock price to plummet by 15.43% to $222.15. UBS analyst Joseph Spak has lowered Tesla, Inc.'s first-quarter delivery target from 437,000 vehicles to 367,000 vehicles in the latest report, a number far below market expectations. In addition, his delivery forecast for 2025 is only 1.7 million vehicles, a significant decrease from the widely expected 2 million vehicles. Spak did not attribute this adjustment to Musk's political stance or other factors, but pointed out that Tesla, Inc.'s current delivery cycle, pricing strategy, and early sales data have all been weak. Therefore, he has rated Tesla, Inc.'s stock as "sell," and further lowered the price target from $259 to $225, exacerbating the market's pessimistic sentiment. Tesla, Inc. is experiencing its worst two months in history. As of Monday, the company's stock price has fallen by about 45% from February to March. Despite the recent poor performance of the stock price, Tesla, Inc. has still accumulated a 27% increase over the past year, reaching an all-time high of $488.54 on December 18, 2023. However, current market trends have left investors uncertain about future developments. On Monday, the overall performance of the US stock market was weak, with the S&P 500 index falling by 2.7% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 2.08%. Additionally, US President Trump, in an interview, did not rule out the possibility of an economic recession in 2025, further exacerbating market concerns. He stated in the interview, "I don't like to predict recessions, but the economy is currently in transition." Investors had hoped for some positive news in the market, but the reality is that Tesla, Inc.'s stock price has fallen by 26% in the past month. During this time, Tesla, Inc. also faced another unexpected risk factor - DOGE. On February 20, Alphabet Inc. Class C search data showed that searches for "DOGE" reached a peak in the last 90 days, even surpassing "Tesla." It is worth noting that Musk's deep involvement in Trump's newly established "Department of Government Efficiency" has sparked controversy and led to protests against DOGE and Tesla, Inc. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives pointed out in a recent report that investors ultimately need to ignore the uncertainty related to DOGE and focus on Tesla, Inc.'s core business. He still maintains a "buy" rating for Tesla, Inc. stock and sets a target price of $550, believing that Tesla, Inc. has the potential to create trillions of dollars in market value by using artificial intelligence technology to launch autonomous taxi services and humanoid Siasun Robot & Automation businesses. Currently, the influence of DOGE seems to be diminishing, but investors still need to pay attention to its long-term impact. Analysts expect the DOGE project to continue until July 4, 2026, and during this period, changes in market sentiment may continue to affect Tesla, Inc.'s stock price performance. Overall, Tesla, Inc. still faces multiple pressures in the short term, including concerns about economic recession, lowered delivery expectations, uncertainty surrounding DOGE, and the overall weakness of the US stock market. Investors will closely monitor delivery data for the upcoming quarters and the latest developments in the autonomous driving business to evaluate the company's future growth potential.

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